I-COVID-19 iyanda kwakhona eTshayina, ngokumiswa okuphindaphindiweyo kunye nemveliso kwiindawo ezikhethiweyo kulo lonke ilizwe, nto leyo echaphazela kakhulu onke amashishini. Okwangoku, singayiqwalasela impembelelo ye-COVID-19 kushishino lweenkonzo, njengokuvalwa kwamashishini okupheka, amashishini okuthengisa kunye nokuzonwabisa, nto leyo nayo eyona mpembelelo ibonakalayo kwixesha elifutshane, kodwa kwixesha eliphakathi, umngcipheko wokuvelisa umkhulu.
Umthwali weshishini leenkonzo ngabantu, abanokufunyanwa xa i-COVID-19 iphelile. Umthwali weshishini lemveliso ziimpahla, ezinokugcinwa ngoluhlu lwempahla ixesha elifutshane. Nangona kunjalo, ukuvalwa okubangelwe yi-COVID-19 kuya kukhokelela ekunqongophaleni kweempahla ixesha elithile, okuya kukhokelela ekufudukeni kwabathengi kunye nababoneleli. Impembelelo yexesha eliphakathi inkulu kuneyoshishino leenkonzo. Ngenxa yokuphinda kuvele i-COVID-19 eMpuma China, eMzantsi China, kumantla-mpuma nakwezinye iindawo zelizwe, loluphi uhlobo lwempembelelo olubangelwe lishishini lemveliso kwimimandla eyahlukeneyo, zeziphi iingxaki eziza kujongana nazo ezivela phezulu, phakathi nasezantsi, kunye nokuba impembelelo yexesha eliphakathi nelide iya kwandiswa na. Okulandelayo, siza kuyihlalutya nganye nganye ngophando lwakutshanje lukaMysteel kushishino lwemveliso.
Ⅰ Ingcaciso emfutshane yeMacro
I-PMI yokuvelisa ngoFebruwari 2022 ibingama-50.2%, inyuke ngama-0.1 eepesenti ukusuka kwinyanga ephelileyo. Isalathisi semisebenzi yeshishini engeyoyamveliso ibingama-51.6 eepesenti, inyuke ngama-0.5 eepesenti ukusuka kwinyanga ephelileyo. I-PMI edibeneyo ibingama-51.2 eepesenti, inyuke ngama-0.2 eepesenti ukusuka kwinyanga ephelileyo. Kukho izizathu ezintathu eziphambili zokubuyela kwe-PMI. Okokuqala, iTshayina isandula ukwazisa uthotho lwemigaqo-nkqubo kunye namanyathelo okukhuthaza ukukhula okuzinzileyo kwamacandelo emizi-mveliso kunye neenkonzo, okuye kwaphucula imfuno kunye nokwanda kwee-odolo kunye nolindelo lomsebenzi weshishini. Okwesibini, utyalo-mali olongezelelweyo kwiziseko zophuhliso ezintsha kunye nokukhutshwa ngokukhawuleza kweebhondi ezikhethekileyo kukhokelele ekubuyiselweni okuphawulekayo kwishishini lokwakha. Okwesithathu, ngenxa yempembelelo yengxabano phakathi kweRashiya neUkraine, ixabiso leoyile ekrwada kunye nezinye izinto ezikrwada zoshishino linyuke kutshanje, nto leyo ebangele ukunyuka kwesalathisi sexabiso. Izalathisi ezintathu ze-PMI zinyukile, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba amandla ayabuya emva koMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo.
Ukubuyiselwa kwesalathisi see-odolo ezintsha ngaphezulu komgca wokwandiswa kubonisa ukuphucuka kwemfuno kunye nokubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kwimfuno yasekhaya. Isalathisi see-odolo ezintsha zokuthumela ngaphandle sinyuke kwinyanga yesibini ilandelelana, kodwa sahlala singaphantsi komgca owahlula ukwanda nokuncitshiswa.
Isalathisi sokulindela imveliso yokuvelisa kunye nemisebenzi yeshishini sinyuke kangangeenyanga ezine zilandelelana saza safikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu elitsha phantse kunyaka. Nangona kunjalo, imisebenzi yokusebenza elindelekileyo ayikaguqulelwa kwimisebenzi yemveliso kunye nokusebenza, kwaye isalathisi semveliso siye sehla ngokwexesha lonyaka. Amashishini asajongene nobunzima obufana nokunyuka kwamaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza kunye nokuhamba kwemali okuncinci.
IKomiti yeMarike eVulekileyo yeFederal Reserve (FOMC) ngoLwesithathu inyuse izinga lenzala yomgangatho welizwe ngama-25 basis points ukuya kuluhlu lwe-0.25%-0.50% ukusuka kwi-0% ukuya kwi-0.25%, ukunyuka kokuqala ukusukela ngoDisemba ka-2018.
Ⅱ Ishishini lesiphelo esisezantsi
1. Ukusebenza okuqinileyo ngokubanzi kushishino lwesakhiwo sentsimbi
Ngokutsho kophando lweMysteel, ukusukela nge-16 kaMatshi, ishishini lesakhiwo sentsimbi lonke lilonke lilonke ligcine izinto ezisetyenzisiweyo ezisetyenzisiweyo zonyuke nge-78.20%, imihla yezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo ezisetyenzisiweyo inyuke nge-10.09%, ukusetyenziswa kwezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo imihla ngemihla kunyuke nge-98.20%. Ekuqaleni kukaMatshi, ukubuyiselwa kwemfuno yeshishini lonke ngoFebruwari bekungalunganga njengoko bekulindelwe, kwaye imakethi yayicotha ukufudumala. Nangona ukuthunyelwa kuchaphazeleke kancinci yibhubhane kwezinye iindawo kutshanje, inkqubo yokucubungula nokuqalisa ikhawulezisiwe kakhulu, kwaye ii-odolo nazo zibonise ukwehla okukhulu. Kulindeleke ukuba imakethi iqhubeke iphucuka kwixesha elizayo.
2. Ii-odolo zoshishino loomatshini ziyafudumala kancinci kancinci
Ngokutsho kophando lweMysteel, ukusukela nge-16 kaMatshi, uluhlu lwezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo kwiimboni yoomatshiniinyuke nge-78.95% inyanga nenyanga, inani lezinto eziluhlaza ezikhoyo linyuke kancinci nge-4.13%, kwaye ukusetyenziswa okuqhelekileyo kwemihla ngemihla kwezinto eziluhlaza kunyuke nge-71.85%. Ngokutsho kophando lukaMysteel malunga namashishini oomatshini, ii-odolo kushishino zilungile okwangoku, kodwa zichaphazelekile kuvavanyo lwe-nucleic acid oluvaliweyo kwezinye iifektri, iifektri zivaliwe eGuangdong, eShanghai, eJilin nakwezinye iindawo ezichaphazeleke kakhulu, kodwa imveliso yokwenyani ayichaphazelekanga, kwaye uninzi lweemveliso ezigqityiweyo zibekwe kwindawo yokugcina ukuze zikhutshwe emva kokuvalwa. Ke ngoko, imfuno yoshishino loomatshini ayichaphazelekanga okwangoku, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ii-odolo zinyuke kakhulu emva kokuba ukuvalwa kukhululwe.
3. Ishishini lezixhobo zasekhaya liphela lihamba kakuhle
Ngokutsho kophando lweMysteel, ukusukela nge-16 kaMatshi, uluhlu lwezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo kwishishini lezixhobo zasekhaya lunyuke nge-4.8%, inani lezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo ezikhoyo lehle nge-17.49%, kwaye ukusetyenziswa okuqhelekileyo kwemihla ngemihla kwezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo kunyuke nge-27.01%. Ngokutsho kophando kwishishini lezixhobo zasekhaya, xa kuthelekiswa nokuqala kukaMatshi, ii-odolo zezixhobo zasekhaya zangoku ziqalile ukufudumala, imakethi ichaphazeleka lixesha lonyaka, imozulu, intengiso kunye nezinto ezikhoyo zikwinqanaba lokubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kancinci kancinci. Kwangaxeshanye, ishishini lezixhobo zasekhaya ligxile kuphando oluqhubekayo kunye nophuhliso ukwenza iimveliso ezithembekileyo nezisebenza kakuhle, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iimveliso ezisebenzayo nezikrelekrele ziya kuvela kwixesha elizayo.
Ⅲ Impembelelo kunye nolindelo lwamashishini angaphantsi komhlaba kwi-COVID-19
Ngokutsho kophando lukaMysteel, kukho iingxaki ezininzi ezijongene nomlambo ongezantsi:
1. Impembelelo yomgaqo-nkqubo; 2. Ukungonelanga kwabasebenzi; 3. Ukuncipha kokusebenza kakuhle; 4. Uxinzelelo lwezemali; 5. Iingxaki zothutho
Ngokwexesha, xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka ophelileyo, kuthatha iintsuku ezili-12-15 ukuba iziphumo ezisezantsi ziqalise ukusebenza, kwaye kuthatha ixesha elide ukuba ukusebenza kakuhle kubuyele esiqhelweni. Okuxhalabisa ngakumbi yimpembelelo kwimveliso, ngaphandle kwamacandelo anxulumene neziseko zophuhliso, kuya kuba nzima ukubona naluphi na uphuculo olubalulekileyo kwixesha elifutshane.
Ⅳ Isishwankathelo
Lilonke, impembelelo yobhubhane lwangoku incinci xa ithelekiswa nowama-2020. Ukusuka kwimeko yemveliso yesakhiwo sentsimbi, izixhobo zasekhaya, oomatshini kunye nezinye iifemu zesiphelo, uluhlu lwangoku luye lwabuyela kwisiqhelo kancinci kancinci ukusuka kwinqanaba eliphantsi ekuqaleni kwenyanga, ukusetyenziswa okuqhelekileyo kwemihla ngemihla kwezinto eziluhlaza nako kunyuke kakhulu xa kuthelekiswa nokuqala kwenyanga, kwaye imeko ye-odolo inyukile kakhulu. Lilonke, nangona ishishini lesiphelo lichaphazeleke yi-COVID-19 kutshanje, impembelelo iyonke ayibalulekanga, kwaye isantya sokubuyisela emva kokuvulwa kokuvalwa sinokudlula okulindelweyo.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Julayi-21-2022
